CFL Targets: Week 8

QuarterBack

Mike Reilly ($11,000) – Reilly paid off yet again last week with his third game of 30 points or more. The Eskimos QB has completed over 70% of his passes in five of six games thus far and has seemingly benefited, for fantasy purposes, from the lack of a stable presence in the Edmonton backfield. While the price may be off-putting, the matchup this week is almost as good as it was last week, as Ottawa is now second last in pass yards per game at 337 and is last in the league in terms of points allowed at 42.57. While the four rushing TDs in his last two games is unsustainable, the injuries to the Esks RBs will likely mean Reilly keeps using his legs more in the short term. Simply put, he’s well worth his price tag here again.

Zach Collaros ($8,100) – Collaros played a decent game last week, throwing for three TDs and over 280 yards against a tough Eskimo pass defense. Hamilton has been awful this season, but the improved play of Collaros may be coming at the right time as Hamilton’s pass game does get a matchup with Winnipeg, which has allowed over 328 passing yards per game this year. The current projected game total of this matchup is set at 59.5 so the upside for a big game from Collaros is definitely there, and at a scant $8,100, the savings are almost too good to ignore. He comes with more risk than Reilly but offers massive salary savings.

Notes – The Als’ Darian Durant ($9,700) has thrown for 800 yards over his last two games. He gets a matchup with the Argos this week, who have allowed 79 points against over their last two matchups.


Wide Receiver

Duron Carter ($7,800) – Carter started the season slowly but has come on of late. The former Indianapolis Colt has caught 14 balls for over 210 yards and three TDs over the past two weeks; he also burned a good Lions secondary for a big play late in the game Week 7. The matchup here isn’t great statistically, but from a metrics standpoint, Carter is a tough cover for pretty much anyone in the league. With some question marks on the other top players at WR, and the Riders at home and looking for some revenge, this is a good spot for Carter to continue his run and make a claim as the top target in Saskatchewan.

Bryant Mitchell ($4,500) – With Brandon Zylstra looking questionable for this week, look for Mitchell to continue his run of fantasy relevance here. Mitchell owners really benefited last week when the Esks starter went down in the game, as he quickly became the top target, ending the game with eight catches and 121 yards. With Duke Williams also banged up, look for Mitchell to again lead the team in targets. The fact he gets a matchup with the poor Ottawa secondary and has a price well under $5K makes him a near must-play and easily the best value at this position.

Notes – With injuries still a factor, and a great matchup with Hamilton on the horizon, both Ryan Lankford ($5,700) and Darvin Adams ($7,600) should be considered great options once again. Langford has outplayed Adams the past two weeks and also has return upside, which makes him the far better value. However, Adams could easily break out here against a Ticats team, which gives up a lot of big plays.


Running Back

Andrew Harris ($7,800) – It’s a close call this week between the top two options at RB, but I would lean slightly with Harris. While Jeremiah Joseph has been a TD machine in BC, he still shares some touches and receptions with Chris Rainey every week. Meanwhile, Harris has been one of the Bombers’ most targeted receivers this year and has seen his target totals jump of late with Weston Dressler out. With 24 receptions over his last three games, and going up against a Hamilton defense that is last against both the pass and the run (in terms of yards allowed), this is too good a spot for me to bypass. Harris is my main target at RB if paying up this week.

Mossis Madu Jr. ($5,000) – With William Powell confirmed out, it will be Madu who will start and should see the bulk of the carries for Ottawa in Week 8. The Esks have been much worse against the run this season than the pass, and Madu produced games of 17 and 21 fantasy points when he had the backfield to himself earlier in the season. This is a great price for a player who should see 15 touches and is in an above average matchup.

Notes – Your two RB punt plays this week are Stefan Logan ($3,700) and Martese Jackson ($4,200). Both men are their team’s primary return men and should see at least some work in the receiving game as well. Logan may really benefit from an expanded role if Brandon Rutley or Tyrell Sutton sit out this week as well.


Defense

Lions ($5,100) – This play worked out for us nicely last week, and there’s every reason to go back to the Lions here. Saskatchewan has been getting by with immobile QB Kevin Glenn all season, but that party may be coming to an end. Glenn was picked off twice last game and also sacked twice by a Lions pass rush, which now has eight sacks in its last three games. With BC allowing the second fewest rush yards per game in the league thus far, forcing Saskatchewan to the air again here seems likely. Saskatchewan will be at home this week, which makes this play a bit riskier, but I still prefer the Lions, who have done well against weaker teams so far in 2017. If you prefer saving some money, Montreal will be getting a Ricky Ray-less Argos team. But with only six sacks on the entire season, the Alouettes won’t bring much pressure regardless of who plays QB for Toronto.

 


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