MLB Top Stacks: July 15th

Saturday night brings us a rare, but massive 13-game slate tonight! With so many stacks to choose from, I’ll break down my top five. Let’s jump right into all the information, and as always, you can get me on the ol’ Twitter machine @SBuchanan24.


1. Seattle Mariners

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The Mariners will take on Mike Pelfrey tonight at Guaranteed Rate Field. Pelfrey has been brutal as of late, averaging just 5.1 fantasy points in his last five starts with 16 runs allowed in 19.1 innings. At home this season, Pelfrey is allowing a .331 wOBA with a .427 SLG. The Mariners will enter this game sporting a .316 wOBA on the road to go with a .324 OBP and a .412 SLG. Seeing how Pelfrey has a 35% hard hit rate over his last three starts, the Mariners are in a great matchup this evening.

Players to Consider

  • Nelson Cruz ($4,800)
  • Jean Segura ($4,900)
  • Robinson Cano ($4,700)
  • Kyle Seager ($3,800)
  • Ben Gamel ($3,900)


2. Chicago Cubs

After a huge offensive outburst last night, the Cubs are in another favorable matchup tonight against Wade Miley. The Cubs enter this game as one of the top hitting clubs against lefties, sporting a .339 wOBA with a .442 SLG and a .356 OBP. The Cubs will also benefit from this game taking place at Camden Yards, which allows them to use a DH in their lineup. Statistically, June was the worst month of the season for Miley, ending with a .389 wOBA and a .508 SLG and that trend has continued into July. Overall, Miley has pitched his best at Camden Yards, but over his last four starts, Miley has allowed 15 runs in 20.2 innings.

  • Anthony Rizzo ($5,000)
  • Ian Happ ($4,800)
  • Willson Contreras ($3,700)
  • Kris Bryant ($5,100)
  • Addison Russell ($3,200)


3. Atlanta Braves

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This feels like a perfect storm for a Braves stack this evening. The Braves have hit left-handed pitching extremely well, and face lefty Patrick Corbin tonight, who struggles immensely on the road. Corbin is sporting a .411 wOBA on the road in 35.2 innings to go with a .631 SLG and a .370 OBP. The Braves head into this game with a .334 wOBA against lefties with a .443 SLG and a .347 OBP. They’ll be a sneaky stack on this slate, especially with 13 games being played.

Players to Consider

  • Freddie Freeman ($5,000)
  • Ender Inciarte ($4,000)
  • Matt Kemp ($3,200)
  • Matt Adams ($4,000)
  • Brandon Phillips ($3,200)


4. Minnesota Twins

The Twins will be taking on Joe Musgrove tonight, who has been getting shelled on what feels like a nightly basis as of late. I mean his numbers in the month of June paint the picture here. In 14 innings, Musgrove posted a .461 wOBA with a .694 SLG and 16 runs allowed. Against righties, the Twins own a .324 wOBA with a .423 SLG and a .330 OBP. Theoretically, the Twins could be ranked higher in this article, but they are knocked down a few spots due to this game taking place in Houston. I do like how cheap this stack is, saving you plenty of money to fill out the rest of your roster.

Players to Consider

  • Brian Dozier ($4,100)
  • Max Kepler ($4,300)
  • Joe Mauer ($3,600)
  • Robbie Grossman ($3,400)
  • Eddie Rosario ($3,400)


5. Kansas City Royals

If you’re feeling froggy, the Royals could be a REAL sneaky stack tonight and one that will most certainly be low owned. On paper, this may not be the most favorable matchup for the Royals, but a couple of factors have me intrigued. For one, Cole Hamels is allowing a 45% hard hit rate over his last three starts with an average batted ball distance of 207 ft. Second, his road numbers aren’t exactly dazzling either. Against righties on the road, Hamels owns a .330 wOBA with a .403 SLG and a .346 OBP. Yes, the Royals have been downright brutal at times this season, but you’ll get them at super low ownership and have a good chunk of salary left for the rest of your roster.

Players to Consider

  • Eric Hosmer ($4,100)
  • Salvador Perez ($4,000)
  • Mike Moustakas ($4,200)
  • Whit Merrifield ($4,100)
  • Jorge Bonifacio ($3,500)

 


I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is Steveazors) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.