NFL WR Breakdown: Week 8

There’s no doubt that wide receiver selection is incredibly important on DraftKings. Not only does the site have full PPR scoring, but with three receivers and a flex spot, you can potentially start four wide receivers in your lineup.

Check Out the Other Week 8 NFL Positional Breakdowns:

Wide receiver production is becoming more and more important each year, too. Take a look at how often each position is hitting their respective bonus levels (300 passing yards, 100 rushing/receiving yards) on DraftKings.

Bonuses

 
While running back production is declining just slightly, receiver production is trending upward. Let’s take a look at which receivers are the most valuable on DraftKings in Week 8. Note that all players listed are eligible for use in the Millionaire Maker.

 

Top Five Wide Receivers

Antonio Brown, Pittsburgh vs Indianapolis, $8000 – Brown did it again with a nine-catch, 90-yard performance on Monday night football in which he had a touchdown called back because his toe might or might not have been out-of-bounds.

He’s such a safe option-23-straight games with at least five catches and 50 yards-that I’m actually willing to overpay slightly to get him into my cash lineups. Indy has the toughest defense for opposing wide receivers, but Brown is matchup-proof.

 

Jordy Nelson, Green Bay at New Orleans, $7800 – If you read my Week 8 QB Breakdown, you know that I’m very high on this matchup in general. I love the potential game flow here and I’m very much on board with both quarterbacks, so it follows that I like the prospects for their pass-catchers, too.

Nelson is an elite wide receiver who could very well have the highest upside of anyone who is eligible for use in the Millionaire Maker (Demaryius Thomas plays on Thursday night).

 

Randall Cobb, Green Bay at New Orleans, $7500 – Cobb has a lot of extra value on DraftKings because of the full PPR scoring, and I think there will be plenty of points to go around on Sunday night. I’m very much on board with a Rodgers/Nelson/Cobb three-man stack, even though I see Cobb as being a bit overpriced.

 

Dez Bryant, Dallas vs Washington, $6900 – Bryant hasn’t scored in two games, which isn’t really a concern of mine, but he’s definitely a high-variance player with the way the Cowboys use him. I think the Redskins are going to do everything in their power to halt Bryant on Monday night, which could lead to yet another huge game from DeMarco Murray. I think Bryant is definitely a GPP consideration since he has as good of a chance as any receiver to score multiple touchdowns.

 

T.Y. Hilton, Indianapolis at Pittsburgh, $6800 – I don’t love Hilton as a receiver, but how can you not love the situation? The Colts throw the ball 40 times per game and Hilton is the main beneficiary. The abundance of quick passes he sees from Andrew Luck gives him near-Antonio-Brown level consistency, and he of course has some upside as a deep threat.

Five Others to Consider

Brandon Marshall, Chicago at New England, $6100

Alshon Jeffery, Chicago at New England, $6000

A.J. Green, Cincinnati vs Baltimore, $5900

Green’s status is currently “up in the air,” so this is definitely a situation to monitor throughout the week. If he plays and there isn’t any inclination that he’ll be used solely as a decoy, Green has to be a consideration for tournaments at his $5900 price tag. Even though he offers value, I won’t use him in cash games because his health projects to a very wide range of potential outcomes.

Mike Wallace, Miami at Jacksonville, $5800

DeSean Jackson, Washington at Dallas, $5700

 

Five Mid-Priced Wide Receivers

Sammy Watkins, Buffalo at NY Jets, $5700 – With a ridiculous 9/122/2 line last week, Watkins is very quickly proving he’s the real deal. He had another explosive game in Week 2, but we’ve also seen the typical rookie blues in other games. Watkins has four games with either no more than three catches or no more than 40 yards. He won’t be on my radar in cash games, and I’m not even sure how much tournament exposure I’ll have to him.

 

Steve Smith, Baltimore at Cincinnati, $5600 – Smith relies on the big play for his upside, which isn’t typically what I want out of a wide receiver. He’s been very fortunate in finding those plays thus far in 2014, but I don’t think he’s going to be able to keep it up. Without the ability to score with consistency closer to the end zone, I’m not a huge Smith fan at this price, even in GPPs.

 

Mohamed Sanu, Cincinnati vs Baltimore, $5600 – I think there’s really good reason to believe that Sanu’s usage will be really low this week. First, he’s coming off of a poor performance against the Colts. Second, he costs the same price as Smith, who I’d imagine will be a much more popular option.

Sanu’s value is clearly dependent on A.J. Green’s health. I think Sanu is very overpriced if Green is healthy, but probably priced accurately if Green is out. Because of what I believe will be really low usage, I’ll consider Sanu for the Millionaire Maker if he’s the No. 1 option.

 

Jeremy Maclin, Philadelphia at Arizona, $5500 – The Cardinals are struggling badly against the pass this year, including surprisingly on the outside; they’ve allowed the third-most points to opposing wide receivers. Arizona’s struggles have come mainly with their pass rush, so this will come down to how well the Eagles can protect Nick Foles.

Note that the Cardinals are two-point favorites and the total is just 48 points, which means Vegas has the Eagles projected to score only 23 points, which is of course a concern.

 

Andre Johnson, Houston at Tennessee, $5300 – Johnson has caught four passes in every game this year and at least five in all but one. He also doesn’t have a 100-yard game and has scored only one time. I think he’s a pretty decent cash-game option this week in Tennessee, but his upside is limited in Houston’s offense.

Five Others to Consider

Pierre Garcon, Washington at Dallas, $5200

Vincent Jackson, Tampa Bay vs Minnesota, $5100

Marques Colston, New Orleans vs Green Bay, $5000

Kelvin Benjamin, Carolina vs Seattle, $5000

Michael Floyd, Arizona vs Philadelphia, $4900

I think there’s a very good chance that the Cardinals put up a healthy total against the Eagles this week. Arizona is a dramatically different offense with Carson Palmer under center. I love Floyd as a tournament option; he has either 100-plus yards or a touchdown in all of Palmer’s games this year.

Five Value Wide Receivers

Brandon LaFell, New England vs Chicago, $4800 – LaFell has scored three times in the past four games and has really posted just one stinker performance. The Pats are so bare at receiver that, as long as LaFell is getting looks, he’s very much in play in Week 8. I like the matchup and, given LaFell’s big body and ability to score, I think he’s an option in every league type.

 

Andrew Hawkins, Cleveland vs Oakland, $4700 – I have no idea where Hawkins went in Week 6, but his five-catch, 112-yard performance in Week 7 has me less concerned about his prospects in Cleveland’s offense. He’s definitely not a tournament option, in my view, because he doesn’t have huge upside. That’s due to his particular skill set and the fact that I could see the Browns running the ball over and over against versus the Raiders.

 

Doug Baldwin, Seattle at Carolina, $4700 – Even though Baldwin broke out for 123 yards and a touchdown in Week 7, I don’t think his role in Seattle’s offense has changed very much since the team sent Percy Harvin to the Jets. I don’t necessarily think Baldwin’s price is too high here, but be careful with him in the future because, in my opinion, he’s a generally low-upside player in an offense that’s not friendly to receivers.

 

Brandin Cooks, New Orleans vs Green Bay, $4700 – Cooks is an interesting player because, as we’d expect with a rookie, he’s had some pretty poor performances this year. His low floor scares me away from him in cash games, but I don’t know how useful he’ll be in tournaments because the Saints spread the ball around so much. He’s definitely a consideration just because I love this game and think it will be very high-scoring, but I’m still struggling with his value right now.

 

Eric Decker, NY Jets vs Buffalo, $4600 – Decker has been a big disappointment in New York so far, but I’m still very high on him. He’s scored on one-in-eight catches, once again proving he has elite scoring potential even without Peyton Manning. He scored regularly at the University of Minnesota and with Tim Tebow throwing him passes.

It could be the case that Buffalo throws the ball more this week, for two reasons: they’re down to their No. 3 running back and the Jets’ run defense is stingy. If that happens, both teams could run more plays and put up more fantasy points than they otherwise would.

Also, I love to use a player’s physical attractiveness to make close lineup decisions. Decker’s masculine jawline and gorgeous eyes speak for themselves:

USATSI_8129360_168381090_lowres

 


Five Others to Consider

Julian Edelman, New England vs Chicago, $4600

Larry Fitzgerald, Arizona vs Philadelphia, $4400

Torrey Smith, Baltimore at Cincinnati, $4400

Allen Robinson, Jacksonville vs Miami, $4400

Robinson has at least four receptions in every game since Week 2. He’s been strangely consistent for a rookie receiver, although there isn’t a ton of upside in Jacksonville’s offense. I love his ability to potentially find the end zone, but I still think this is more of a value play for cash games when you want to go big at running back.

DeAndre Hopkins, Houston at Tennessee, $4200